"Even before the nuclear deal when the Iran regime was crippled with multilateral and unilateral economic sanctions, Tehran still continued to support militias, proxies and terrorist groups", Rafizadeh said. So, what happens next?
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said there was a short time to negotiate with other world powers, but if talks failed Tehran was ready to resume its nuclear work. Iran is still sticking to its nuclear commitments, according to IAEA inspectors. If history is any guide, there is little chance of this happening, so we are now on a course of escalating confrontation. They could risk losing access to the U.S. market and face fines if they choose to do business with Iran. At the same time, a USA government report showed the biggest crude inventory drop since March. Saudi authorities said they intercepted the missiles. The US also says companies doing business in Iran now have six months to halt economic activity, and can not sign new contracts or they will face sanctions. Their goal in 2015 was to recover some of the cash USA officials had been holding for years, since the revolutionary Islamic regime took power. That's because the USA will reimpose sanctions on Iran's economy and its oil exports.
"Certain U.S. allies, including Japan and South Korea, may comply with the proposed U.S.re-imposition of Iranian sanctions on the concern of losing the U.S. security umbrella vis-a-vis North Korea", said Khoman. It is unclear whether the drop will be as significant as previously, as European Union countries are struggling to keep the deal afloat and seeking to avoid taking part in the United States embargo.
The news agency Bloomberg, citing Amrita Sen, chief oil analyst at Energy Aspects Ltd., noted that the renewal of Iranian sanctions can drastically change the agenda for the upcoming OPEC meeting in June.
A critic of the agreement since it was signed by the Obama administration, Trump claimed the JCPOA "didn't bring calm, it didn't bring peace, and it never will".
Iran's ruling mullahs scored an enormous victory in that agreement.
As part of the supply deal, OPEC pledged to cut 1.2 million bpd from supplies from its members.
Already, many European countries and others are also protesting the U. "Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has signaled its willingness to offset possible sanction-related supply outages from Iran", Commerzbank said in a research note.
Barclays does not see a significant impact on the oil market either. The bank cited geopolitical risks in Saudi Arabia and Venezuela at a time when inventories are falling.
A lot depends on what Iran does next. US output is creeping closer to that of top producer Russian Federation, which pumps about 11 million bpd.
Iran would rather increase exports than pressure oil prices higher.
One factor that could partially mitigate any shortfall from Iran is soaring US oil output.