Forecast: Jersey shore faces rough surf, coastal flooding from Jose

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Jose is now a category one hurricane but is forecast to turn into a tropical storm by the time it reaches southern New England.

Fears of possible flooding and beach erosion have residents along the coast of MA preparing for the worst as Hurricane Jose takes aim at New England. The eye of Maria is forecast to pass over Puerto Rico on Wednesday as a Category 5 hurricane.

The National Hurricane Center chose to use a cone model to predict the path of Jose. Not sure if that eastward trend is justified - I would admittedly draw the track a little closer to the Jersey Shore.

Eric Lorenz of Bedford checks out the surf at Hampton Beach Monday as waves begin to build from Hurricane Jose. The flow on the west side of the storm could bring less humid through the Northeast late this week.

Leaders in both communities will keep up on the latest developments with Jose through the night and gather again tomorrow to determine what, if any, additional steps to take.

While the East Coast is not a direct target of Hurricane Jose, the region will still be affected as the storm is now on the move north.

Jose is whipping up risky surf and rip currents as it heads north over the Atlantic off the heavily populated Eastern Seaboard. Red flags will be flying through at least the middle of the week. Spotty minor flooding is expected this evening, will expand in coverage Tuesday morning, and become more widespread Tuesday night.

On Saturday, my initial surge call was 2 to 3 feet. This is not good news!

Minor flooding is expected during the morning high tide and moderate flooding is anticipated during the evening.

Continue to think of this upcoming storm as a wet nor'easter. The most precarious high tide cycle will be Tuesday afternoon. It had maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour (140 kph). North winds 20 to 25 miles per hour with gusts up to 35 miles per hour. "It shouldn't have too much of an impact in Manhattan, but Staten Island and Bergen Point, New Jersey, could see higher water levels they wouldn't normally see".

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning. It is forecast to remain a hurricane through Tuesday.

Rainfall total forecasts are.18 of an inch for Greenwich and Danbury;.26 of an inch for Bridgeport and the Naugatuck Valley and.34 of an inch in New Haven.

If not, rainfall totals will be less than a half-inch.

The heavier rains would be along the beaches, and winds here would only be breezy at worst.

Here's another updated spaghetti model for Jose...

As the storm heads up to New England there are several dangers.

Jose shouldn't be a big deal for us here in Maine.

Again, the worst of the storm in CT will occur tomorrow night and Wednesday morning. This storm is now 2,200 miles southeast of New Jersey and 400 miles east of the Caribbean Sea. Maria is going to become a major hurricane in the next few days and will likely impact numerous same areas in the Caribbean that Irma hit.

The best news coming out of Jose is that it is nowhere near the areas previously hit by Irma and Harvey. Rain and some tropical downpours likely move in during the day on Tuesday.